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The Hedge Fund Edge: Maximum Profit/Minimum Risk Global Trend Trading Strategies (Wiley Trading)

by Mark Boucher

ISBN-10: 9780471185383
ISBN-10: 0-471-18538-8
ISBN-13: 9780471185383
ISBN-13: 978-0-471-18538-3
Hardcover
1998-10-30
Wiley


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Editorials


Product Description
Achieve higher returns with lower risk and take your profits globally.

A leading hedge fund trader offers a solid and profitable trading approach to the world markets.

"This is the best stock market book that I have read in a long time. Boucher lays it out clearly, concisely, and in a most interesting manner. A 'must read' for anyone who invests in the equities market." -Dan Sullivan Editor, The Chartist

"A leading practitioner offers rich theoretical insights and sound practical advice based on years of successful trading. Mark Boucher is that rare investment analyst who knows what really works in trading and can communicate it with authority and grace." -Nelson Freeburg Editor and Publisher, Formula Research, Inc.

The Hedge Fund Edge is an indispensable guide for any investor or trader who wants to consistently profit from the markets without having to undergo huge risks. Mark Boucher, hedge fund manager and well-known speaker on trading, provides readers with a solid methodology for achieving market-beating, long-run returns with risk that is substantially below the long-run risk of U.S. and global equities.

Boucher first looks at the limitations of traditional stock and bond investing, and then explains how to determine the safest and most profitable periods for investing in stocks in any country. He explains this strategy both conceptually and with an objective model that has been used to manage money successfully since the 1950s. He shows how to allocate funds among global equities at any given time while following safe, reliable, and profitable trends. The book also provides a thorough discussion of the Austrian Liquidity Cycle, an original combination of Austrian Economics, Economic Alchemy, and Liquidity Cycle Theory. Boucher explains how to use this theory to understand the major moves behind the markets and determine the most profitable market in which to invest.

The Hedge Fund Edge provides critical valuation and technical models as well as essential information on stock selection techniques to help readers identify which markets and stocks are both lower-risk and higher-performing. Boucher also describes, in detail, the impact of governmental policies on the markets and the connection between macroeconomic performance and investment performance. Also included are essential timing models for determining when to invest in gold, bonds, commodities, and other asset classes, as well as methods for allocating a portfolio with the goal of investing in the very best trends at any one point in time across all asset classes. The book emphasizes the power of diversification among asset classes, such as arbitrage funds, global hedge funds, different types of futures funds, distressed bonds, and other market-uncorrelated investments. Boucher explains how this diversification can be used to build a bullet-proof and highly profitable portfolio that returns consistently high profits with much lower than market risk. Boucher provides examples from his own real-time hedge fund trading experience and offers his performance as proof of what can be achieved via these techniques.

The Hedge Fund Edge melds market timing, vehicle selection, risk management techniques, economic insight and understanding, and tactical asset allocation into a totally new philosophy and approach that has been proven to produce spectacular gains with relatively low risk.

Reviews


Hands down this book is a keeper!!!
This book is not about investing in hedge funds. It does, however, teaches you how to invest like a hedge fund manager. This means you invest globally; you invest in variety of asset classes (equities, metals, bonds, VC, real estate, etc); you shift your investments depending on the market climate; and so on. Essentially, this is the "edge" Mr. Boucher was talking about. You, as an investor, are not encumbered to invest in any particular asset class, sector, country, or investment style as would other money managers do. This book gives you investment tools / models that you can use right away. Plus it also teaches you how to understand them so you can build your own tools as well, or at least be able to recognize when a tool stops working.

Mr. Boucher, THANK YOU for generously sharing your research and the ideas / techniques of other great innovators. Mr. "X" would have been very proud of you. Oh yeah, I like the "Coconut Price Index (CPI)" analogy - I almost died of laughing.

If Soros was a prof, Boucher was one of his 'C' students
Like many books written by practitioners, "The Hedge Fund Edge" provides some insight as to how one man makes his living, warts and all. By warts, I mean specious reasoning by the author. One of the warts in this book is a misunderstanding of basic macroeconomics. For example, Boucher presents capital input growth as productivity growth. The 'models' presented in the book are vapid space filler and could have been taken from an undergraduate's class presentation. All of the models could have been summarized neatly on one page rather than several dozen. Also, there are multiple typographical errors and citation errors throughout the book.

The author likely used the phrase 'hedge fund' to tap into a hot topic in order to sell more books. This book is not about hedge funds, it's about global macro trading. You can learn more about global macro trading in the preface to Soros' "Alchemy of Finance" than you'd get out of this entire book.


...on the ... rack
first, in boucher's defense, other reviewers have misunderstood the term "hedge fund" to mean "market neutral." the term "hedge fund" simply means the ability to go short in a portfolio. in that regard, the title is not misleading at all. this book does outline several short strategies based on an understanding of the liquidity cycle.

however, boucher, for as much as he espouses the austrian economic method, has forgotten that one tenant of that methodology is a total diregard for econometric forecasting. the relationships he defines in this book would have had many people in trouble in the early 2000s because, as the austrians state, what happened (past economic relationships) in the past does not have to happen in the future (these once dependable relationships may break down - with your money on the line). current monetary policy has been ineffective, and therefore, so would any of boucher's systems that rely on monetary indicators. these indicators would have been screaming "buy" the equity markets, while the equity markets themselves would have been screaming "sell us...now!"

that being said, the primary reason not to buy this book is that some of the systems that boucher gives are insightful logically, but dubious in execution. while he may give you a system, he does not give you all you need. the reader assumes that he is giving valid systems, with all pertinent information. but, he leaves certain important points out. for example, on page 138, he says that you should buy stocks when up volume on the NYSE is greater than 77% of total volume and then he gives past buy and sell dates for the strategy. after much testing, i figured out that he is not using total volume on the NYSE, but rather total volume less unchanged volume. in other words, total volume is up volume, down volume and unchanged volume for all shares trading on the NYSE. boucher's "total volume" is just up volume plus down volume. this makes a huge difference.

also, any time he uses 30-year t-bond data, good luck to you trying to figure out what he's actually using. the fed has a constant maturity series that goes back to 1977. boucher can go back to 1943 for this data. hmmmmmm. i'm sure he's using something, but i have no idea what. so, what good is the system if you don't know what he's using as the "30 year treasury yield"? and, through no fault of boucher, the 30-year is not issued any more.

he also relies quite heavily on the dow jones 20 bond index. this series was discontinued. this is not boucher's fault, of course, but just another reason to steer clear of this book.

i will say that i learned quite a bit from this book, however. it was fun to read. my problem simply resides with the somewhat tricky way that some of his systems are given. hey, i don't expect the guy to give away a proprietary system, but if you give a system, step up to the plate and tell the reader you're going to leave out some things (he actually does do this when he relays someone else's strategy). i find his method a bit disingenuous.

...


The title of this books seems to me to be misleading
I must agree with reviewer Omar Wanza. There is nothing in this book about statistical arbitrage, which is probably the most effective strategy used by hedge fund managers. Nor does it really talk much about many of the other methods used very effectively by hedge funds.

While the book covers a wide variety of topics pertinent to investing, its central thesis is that knowing and understanding the liquidity cycles of individual countries is of paramount importance in developing a portfolio strategy. When he talks about the liquidity cycle, the author is bascially talking about the business cycle. Due to the rise of the global economy, however, the likelihood that different countries will continue to have differing liquidity cycles is becoming more remote. Also, because it is extremely difficult, in practice, to predict any liquidity cycle, it would seem to me that the information in this book is only of limited value for any investment strategy.

The basic problem with this book is that it was written in 1999, which was not only before global investing became less profitable as a hedge fund strategy, but prior to the current bear market in equities. Based upon various demographic considerations, the author, Mark Boucher, predicted that a bear market in equities would be likely in the year 2005. Some of Boucher's assumptions regarding the relationship of liqudity cycles to various asset classes seem to me to be in need of adjustment based upon the actual economic events that have transpired in the last few years.

In one of the later chapters, he recommends a number of hedge funds, but the book would have been far more valuable if, instead of recommending various hedge funds, he had actually outlined the many different effective methods used by hedge fund managers to manage their own portfolios.

Although there are many potentially helpful things in this book, the title seems to me to be misleading, and I'm not sure that all of the theoretical considerations in it would necessarily pan out in the crucible of current market conditions, whereas certain hedge fund strategies, which are not even mentioned in the book, would probably be far more promising for today's environment.


Excellent Book
This book is second only to The Alchemy of Finance. I highly recomend this book to any trader with a basic understanding of the markets.


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